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2024-12-14 11:32:18

The yield of 20/30-year US Treasury bonds rose by more than 5 basis points on the release date of US CPI inflation data. Investors also paid attention to oil prices and Yellen's new debt supply. At the end of new york on Wednesday (December 11), the yield of US 10-year benchmark government bonds rose by 3.89 basis points to 4.2652%. After the release of US CPI inflation data at 21:30 Beijing time, it plunged significantly and refreshed at 22:41 (the beginning of US stock market). Then it rebounded, and the results released at 02:00 showed that the auction of 10-year US bonds was strong, the bid multiple reached a new high since 2016, and the yield reached 4.2750% at 03:00. The yield of two-year US bonds rose by 1.02 basis points to 4.1532%, and reached 4.1741% at 21:17 (less than a quarter of an hour before the release of the US CPI data). After the data was released, it plunged, and reached 4.0969% at 22:41, and then gradually rebounded.Yibin Paper: There is uncertainty in the acquisition of 67% equity of Acetic Fiber Company. Yibin Paper issued a risk warning announcement, and the company plans to acquire 67% equity of Sichuan Pushi Cellulose Acetate Co., Ltd. held by related party Yibin Pushi Group Co., Ltd. As of July 31, 2024, according to the audited financial data, the total liabilities of Acetic Fiber Company were 971,116,800 yuan, and the asset-liability ratio was 88.31%. It is expected that related funds will flow out in the future. The transaction has yet to be reviewed and approved by the company's shareholders' meeting and procedures such as handling industrial and commercial change registration, and subsequent implementation is uncertain. According to the data released by CSI official website, the latest P/B ratio of papermaking and packaging owned by the company is 1.69 times, and the latest P/B ratio of the company is 8.43 times. The current P/B ratio of the company is quite different from that of the same industry.Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)


Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the 12th. On the 11th local time, according to the latest announcement issued by the hospital, Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the morning of the 12th local time. Earlier in the day, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil released the latest report, saying that President Lula is "conscious and clear-headed, and can have a normal conversation". At present, a drainage tube is still placed at Lula's surgical site, waiting for further examination. Lula had no postoperative complications and was in good condition. On the evening of the 9th local time, Lula was sent to this hospital for surgery due to intracranial hemorrhage.Newly issued loans exceeding one trillion yuan to support the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises have achieved results. On the 10th, I learned from the State Financial Supervision and Administration that since the launch of the financing coordination mechanism for small and micro enterprises in October this year, various localities and banks have responded quickly and achieved initial results. According to the data from the General Administration of Financial Supervision, by the end of November, all localities had visited 12.072 million small and micro business entities based on the working mechanism, of which 1.942 million were included in the "declaration list" and 1.303 million were included in the "recommendation list". Banks granted 2.2 trillion yuan of new credit and 1.2 trillion yuan of new loans to "recommended list" business entities.Morgan Stanley upgraded Hongyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. to parity.


The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)National Bank of Canada: cut the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.45%.Bank of America promoted 387 new managing directors, an increase of 16% compared with last year. According to informed sources, Bank of America promoted 387 employees to managing directors, an increase of 16% compared with last year's total. People familiar with the matter said that more than half of those promoted to managing director were women or ethnic minorities.

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